Dropbox's stock has been stuck at around $6B valuation for years with flat growth and income around $2.5B per year. It is just stuck. Box.com, which is quite similar, is not that different. Around $3B and $1.2B in income. Similar valuation. I think it is the market, not the leadership. It is a tough market that has cut off the consumer end because all the big players have their own deeply integrated solutions: Apple (iCloud), Google (Drive), Microsoft (OneDrive). Not sure where to go since the big guys won't acquire you given that they have alternatives. Maybe a business software acquirer like Salesforce or Dell? Or an AI company that would use this type of cloud storage as a AI document store / collaboration hub? I honestly do not know where to go.
痛点为 AI 基于上游原始证据的初步提炼;未包含额外中国市场检索。
用户讨论的核心不是Dropbox CEO离职本身,而是云存储市场被苹果、谷歌、微软等巨头深度整合后,独立厂商增长停滞的困境。一位用户指出Dropbox和Box估值多年徘徊,收入增长乏力,因为消费者端已被大厂内置方案(iCloud、Drive、OneDrive)切断。另一用户强调Dropbox的块级同步技术仍未被替代,但价格偏高,且尝试替代品后体验不如Dropbox。这表明用户面临两难:要么接受大厂生态绑定(但可能功能不满足需求),要么为独立工具支付更高成本且担心长期存续。同时,有用户因账户被停用而丢失重要数据,支持渠道无效,凸显了依赖单一服务商的风险和恢复机制的缺失。整体上,用户痛点在于:在巨头垄断下,独立云存储服务缺乏差异化创新,用户既无法获得大厂的低价和深度集成,又担心独立服务的稳定性和数据安全。
Story text
https://blog.dropbox.com/topics/company/dropbox-leadership-u...
External article source
- Article title
- Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step down
- Host
- www.cnbc.com
Selected HN comments
my take dhouston should go be a CTO somewhere. technically he's rich enough to never work again. but he's hungry, young & smart & can really push the industry forward - by taking one of the f500 that's tech adjacent & be CTO
If there are any Dropboxers here (drew—I emailed you a few weeks ago, but I imagine you're busy): I went to prison for 18 months, my digital and physical life was stolen from me: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45451567 applies to my Dropbox account (and Apple but separate problem); I just received the "your account will be going bye-bye" email. I have very important dead-mom-club stuff in there, and support is useless. :( Edit: Thanks unofficial Dropbox support channel; thanks Drew :) Edit edit: Try my luck with my Apple account now, I guess—Tim Cook, you busy?
Having just rsync'd 100s of GBs back down from B2 and not sure where to put it, and having lots and lots of business documents and video files to share with collaborators, I'm surprised how few competitors there are in the Dropbox space. With their block level syncing, Dropbox is still not really replicated in the market. I'd only take issue with their price given the volumes of data I'm dealing with. Being able to set local and not-local flags on files/folders is great. I spent some time trying to use a few of their alternatives, plus their mobile client apps, and it's kinda just Dropbox still.
They had a terrific product that worked well in ~2013, but they haven't innovated since then (TBH, not sure what "innovation" means in the file-sync space.) Although Y-o-Y revenue is mostly flat, I'm a little surprised that they still brought in $630M the last quarter, and that they still have 2,000 employees. Looking at what Dropbox does, I would have guesstimated they were a 250-person company. All the best to their employees, but I think a big round of layoffs will be coming within the next couple of quarters.
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